Making the Global Stocktaking Process More Relevant to Southeast Asia

Jakarta, 25 April 2024 – Global efforts to halt climate change by reducing emissions are entering a phase of global consolidation. Since 2023, the Independent Global Stocktake (iGST), a consortium of civil society actors gathered to support the first Global Stocktake in order to assess the progress of the Paris Agreement (2015).

In a webinar entitled Navigating the Outcomes of the First Global Stocktake in Southeast Asia, Arief Rosadi, Climate Diplomacy Coordinator of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) stated that the results of the first GST had not had much influence on the energy transition process in the Southeast Asia region.

“The most important thing about this GST process is that it must be able to be translated into more ambitious climate policies. Energy transition is the low hanging fruit for Southeast Asia, increasing renewable energy targets and climate ambitions will not only contribute to reducing emissions but provide a positive signal to encourage transformation towards a low carbon economy in the region,” said Arief.

Arief emphasized that efforts to double energy efficiency and triple renewable by 2030 (Double Down,Triple Up Initiative) are crucial stages for encouraging the energy transition in the Southeast Asia region. He also added that the next two year period is a crucial moment for Southeast Asia considering that ASEAN is currently preparing ASEAN Post Vision 2025 and the latest APAEC (ASEAN Plan of Action on Energy Cooperation) energy policy document. The first GST point regarding doubling and tripling of renewable energy efficiency needs to be reflected in both documents.

At the planning, implementation and policy evaluation levels, the role of experts or independent research institutions is important to provide alternative views and input for policy makers. It is necessary to ensure that there is meaningful participation by all parties involved and potentially affected by the policy.

Danize Lukban, climate policy analyst at the Institute for Climate and Sustainable Cities (ICSC), reminded the importance of (climate) policies based on scientific data in this transition process.

“In the policy planning process (iGST derivative), the role of climate experts and institutions conducting research is crucial to provide alternative views and input for policy makers,” she said.

ASEAN as a consolidated body of countries in Southeast Asia is expected to become a consolidation forum for its member countries to produce more ambitious and collaborative climate action within the scope of the Southeast Asia region.

Request for Proposal (RFP) Strategic Communication and Advocacy Plan in Promoting Low Carbon Solutions Adoption for Indonesia’s Large Industries & Small-Medium Industries

Background

Achieving the national economic development targets in 2045 would drive capacity expansion in several key industries in Indonesia, such as iron and steel, cement, ammonia, pulp and paper, and textile industries. According to the latest IESR study, the five industries are responsible for about one-third of the national industry emissions in 2020 or about 102 MtCO2. This is because many of those industry players use outdated production technologies that work inefficiently and consume fossil fuels either as feedstock or fuel sources. In other cases, the industry plan its capacity expansion utilizing the carbon-intensive technology which could create emission lock-in for decades to come. Also, the currently low adoption of sustainable raw feedstock materials in cement, iron and steel, and papermaking industries drive the emissions to increase its emission by an additional 50 MtCO2 per year by 2050, and collectively with other industry subsectors, will increase the sector emissions to double in the same year.

Other than that, with the industry and commercial sectors’ landscape in Indonesia are dominated by smaller businesses of about 99%, it is also imperative to consider these smaller businesses’ role in Indonesia’s emissions portfolio. From the IESR study, it has been revealed that with the number of MSMEs reaching 65 million businesses in 2021, the least approximation of total estimated energy-related emissions could reach up to 216 MtCO2 per year in 2023, or about half of the industry sector’s emissions, including emissions generated from burning fuel, industry processes, and waste. Such high CO2 emissions are caused largely due to the very low understanding of MSME actors on how to implement energy efficiency measures as well as the lack of financial and technical capacities to tap into renewable fuel and electricity to support their businesses.

Understanding the timely urgency of decarbonizing industries of all sizes, Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) intends to formulate a strategic communication and advocacy plan to increase public awareness on the topic and drive the industry’s transformational change and increase the adoption of lower carbon technology and sustainable practices among large industries and SMEs. It is expected that the consultant develops the communication and advocacy plan following the Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, and Time-Bound (SMART) principle with at least a one-year timeframe. The successful consultant will provide input on methods, content, and implementation strategies. The strategy must include the use of online tools and new media outlets, including IESR’s existing social media accounts and website.

Requirement

  1. Proposal
  2. Mandatory required documents
    • Statement Letter of Compliance with Pre-Qualification Provisions
    • Statement Letter of Not Involvement in Probitied Organizations
    • Statement Letter of Not Claiming Compensation
    • Business Entity Qualification Form
    • Statement Letter Not Under Court Supervision
    • Expression of Interest
    • Statement of Willingness to Deploy Personnel and Equipment
    • Statement of Overall Commitment
    • Field Capability Statement Letter
    • Statement of Authenticity of the Document
    • Integrity Pact

All required documents can be downloaded through this link (s.id/documentsrfpcommsiesr), and expected to be received to IESR until 10:00 p.m. Indonesian Western Standard Time (WIB, GMT+0700) on Friday, 19 April 2024. Any proposals received after this date and time will be regarded as inadmissible. All proposals must be signed by an expert, official agent, or company representative submitting the proposal.

Proposals will be accepted until 10:00 p.m. Indonesian Western Standard Time (WIB, GMT+0700) on Friday, 19 April 2024. Kindly address the Program Manager Energy Transformation IESR at deon@iesr.or.id and the Coordinator of Industrial Decarbonization Project at faricha@iesr.or.id for inquiries. 

For more detail :

RFP-IESR-Strategic-Communication-and-Advocacy-Plan-in-Promoting-Low-Carbon-Solutions-Adoption-for-Indonesias-Large-and-Small-Medium-Industries.docx-1

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Encouraging Industrial Decarbonization Starting from Consumer Lifestyle

Jakarta, 22 March 2024 – The increase of the earth’s temperature is an inevitable phenomenon as a result of various natural events and human activities and lifestyles which produce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as the cause of the rise in the earth’s temperature.

The invention of the steam engine in 1880 made monumental changes to human life with the beginning of industrialization. The development of industry has been accompanied by increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2022 recorded an increase in earth temperature of 1.1 degrees Celsius. This is a warning for humanity to immediately take steps to control temperature rise to prevent the temperature increase from reaching no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Faricha Hidayati, Coordinator of the Industrial Decarbonization Project, Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) explained that rising earth temperatures could trigger hydrometeorological disasters, one of which will be at an increasingly high frequency.

“Apart from environmental problems, another side impact is health costs which will rise along with the increase in disease, especially those that attack vulnerable groups such as the elderly, children and poor households,” explained Faricha.

Even though it is one of the sectors causing increased GHG emissions, the industrial sector has a significant economic contribution. So strategic steps and efforts are needed to decarbonize the industrial sector.

In 2021, industrial sector emissions will be the second largest emitting sector after electricity generation. If we continue to use the business as usual scheme without any intervention, the value of emissions in the industrial sector will double by 2050.

“The industrial sector contributes to emissions of more than 300 million tons of CO2 in 2021, with the highest source of emissions from the use of fossil fuels as an energy source,” added Faricha.

Even though there are regulations that encourage industry to practice sustainable principles, their implementation is not yet mandatory. Even for industries that independently have the initiative to implement sustainable principles, there is no incentive system for them.

Faricha continued, apart from through policy advocacy to the government, consumers can contribute, one of the ways is by choosing products that are produced with sustainable principles. Consumers can also demand that producers or industries start implementing sustainable principles in their production processes.

Renewable Energy Must Reign Supreme in Southeast Asia

Jakarta, March 27, 2024-Southeast Asia is a world’s fifth-largest economy region in 2022. However, this economic growth comes with a concerning projection: greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the region are expected to soar by 60 percent by 2050. Curbing these emissions is pivotal for global efforts to combat climate change. Unfortunately, current endeavors to promote renewable energy in Southeast Asia fall short of aligning with the Paris Agreement, which aims to limit global warming to below 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Fabby Tumiwa, Executive Director of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR), stated at the Revision 2024 International Conference in Tokyo (14/3) that ASEAN countries have set a target to achieve a renewable energy mix of 23 percent by 2025. However, he emphasized that this target doesn’t align with the Paris Agreement’s objectives.

“To align with the Paris Agreement, the renewable energy mix needs to account for 55 percent, with variable renewable energy (VRE) contributing 42 percent. Except for Vietnam, Cambodia, and the Philippines, others have yet to reach 5 percent VRE penetration. The good news is that in 2023, ASEAN countries will have over 28 GW of operating utility solar and wind capacity, a 20 percent increase in operating capacity since last year. Currently, they make up 9 percent of ASEAN countries’ total electricity capacity. But in order for ASEAN countries to meet the goal, they need to install more renewable energy,” Fabby remarked.

Fabby further highlighted the relatively abundant renewable energy resources in Southeast Asia, which are estimated to be 40-50 times greater than the region’s current energy needs. He suggested that utilizing floating solar power plants could be a strategic move towards decarbonizing the energy system. He elaborated on the technical potential, with reservoirs boasting 134 to 278 GW and natural water surfaces such as rivers, lakes, and seas holding 343 to 768 GW. However, he stressed the importance of conducting detailed calculations of the technical, market, and economic potential, as well as site-specific assessments to develop floating solar power plants.

Additionally, he highlighted the need for Southeast Asian countries to adopt more ambitious policies, provide robust budget support and incentives, and enact policies that attract investment. The average annual investment in renewable energy capacity should be increased by five times to USD 73 billion per year.

Fabby emphasized that Southeast Asian countries must elevate their ambitions to meet the Paris Agreement targets. As an immediate step, ASEAN should aim for a 23 percent renewable energy mix by 2025 and 40 percent by 2030.

“Various studies have shown that decarbonizing the energy system with renewable energy in Southeast Asia is feasible; however, current policies and actions are insufficient to achieve significant decarbonization by 2050. While renewable energy resources are abundant and ample, substantial investment is needed. Each country must reform policies and manage risks associated with renewable energy projects to attract and mobilize investors further,” Fabby added.

He also cautioned against perpetuating a narrative that prioritizes fossil energy as a baseload generator under the guise of maintaining energy security, while sidelining renewable energy. Such a narrative, he argued, is counterproductive and contradicts the spirit of the Paris Agreement.

Embarking on the Decarbonization Journey of the Steel Industry

Jakarta, 20 March 2024 – The industrial sector is one of the important sectors for reducing emissions. The large energy consumption and its significant contribution to the economy in 2022 amounting to 16.48 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), are strong reasons to make this sector more sustainable. Industries with high energy needs, such as the iron and steel industry, require strategic preparation to carry out decarbonization.

Indonesia is one of the largest steel producing countries in Southeast Asia, and ranks number 15 steel producers in the world. In 2023, Indonesia’s steel production capacity will reach 16 million tonnes and is estimated to reach 33-35 million tonnes in 2030.

Fabby Tumiwa, Executive Director of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR), in the webinar “Accelerating the Transformation of the Steel Industry in Southeast Asia: Indonesia Chapter” stated that Indonesian steel production still has high emissions.

“Indonesia’s projected steel demand is predicted to increase. If we don’t take serious decarbonization steps, emissions from the steel industry will also continue to increase,” said Fabby.

We also face international market demands to produce lower carbon steel. For example, the European Union has implemented the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which, effective in 2026, will have a negative effect on the exports of the Indonesian steel industry. For this reason, the steel industry needs to undergo transformation.

Farid Wijaya, Senior Analyst at IESR, explained that decarbonization for the steel industry will bring prospects for economic growth, although currently there are still quite a lot of challenges.

“Green industrial standards can be one way to encourage environmentally friendly industries. Green standards for steel have only recently been established and are still limited to sheet steel per layer. “Currently there is no steel industry that has received a green certificate due to implementation limitations,” said Farid.

Kajol, Program Manager for Climate Neutral Industry Southeast Asia, Agora Industry, added that currently almost 80% of steel production is carried out through blast furnace technology.

“We have to start thinking about better and modern technology to replace blast furnaces. “When the blast furnace facilities currently operating start to become less efficient in 2030-2040, we must replace them with more modern technology and no longer invest in blast furnaces,” she explained.

One of the technologies Kajol refers to is Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) which can produce primary steel using natural gas or clean hydrogen. Iron ore is reduced to produce DRI, which can then be melted in an electric arc furnace (EAF) to produce primary steel.

Viable strategies for decarbonizing the steel industry include direct and indirect use of renewable energy, resource efficiency and circular economy, and closing the carbon cycle.

Helenna Ariesty, Sustainability Manager of PT Gunung Raja Paksi (GRP) as an industry player emphasized the importance of regulatory certainty in encouraging industrial decarbonization.

“We face several challenges to navigate the inconsistent policy direction. Apart from that, access to funding is affordable considering the initial investment required is significant,” Helenna said.

Joseph Cordonnier, Industrial Policy Analyst, OECD agrees that policy and access to funding will be key framework components for building a supporting ecosystem for industrial decarbonization.

“As part of this framework we also have to really look at how to maximize the utilization of existing assets based on engineering variables, energy efficiency and emission reduction of these assets,” said Joseph.

Fausan Arif Darmaji, Infrastructure Development Analyst, Green Industry Center, Ministry of Industry said the government is aware of the need to reduce emissions from Indonesian steel production.

“The steel sector is also our current focus. “While we are waiting for the policy regulations that are currently being made, we are providing training on GHG calculations for the steel sector, as well as calculating the economic value of carbon,” said Fausan.

Deon Arinaldo, IESR Energy Transformation Program Manager closed this webinar by underlining the need for industrial decarbonization as an effort to remain relevant to the demands of industrial development.

“Currently decarbonization in the industrial sector is still considered a challenge. Not only in Indonesia, but also a global phenomenon. “We must anticipate this trend because decarbonization is inevitable,” said Deon.

Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) Emissions are not Small

Dekarbonisasi emisi UKM

Jakarta, 14 March 2024 – The industrial sector has become the backbone of the Indonesian economy. Not only large industries, Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are also the driving force of the national economy, including creating employment opportunities and contributing 60.5% to GDP.

However, this economic contribution figure is also accompanied by large, haunting emissions. Fabby Tumiwa, Executive Director of the Institute for Essential Services Reform, in his opening remarks for the Webinar on Decarbonization Opportunities for Small and Medium Enterprises in Indonesia and Learning from Global Experience, said that currently emissions from the SME industrial sector in 2023 are 216 million tons of CO2e.

“This figure is equivalent to one third of national industrial sector emissions. So, we need to seriously strive to decarbonize the SMEs industry because by prioritizing the sustainability aspect, SMEs will level up,” said Fabby.

As much as 95% of the SME sector’s emissions come from burning fossil fuels, the remaining 5% from burning waste. Large economic contributions need to be anticipated as a result of emissions output. If significant steps are not taken to reduce SME sector emissions, there is a possibility that SME emissions will increase in the future.

Abyan Hilmy Yafi, IESR Energy Data Analyst, explained in a survey carried out by IESR on 1000 SMEs throughout Indonesia that to start decarbonizing the SME industry there are several approaches from increasing understanding to technical solutions such as switching technology.

“For cross-sectors, there is a need to increase the understanding of SMEs about energy consumption and the emissions they emit. Active outreach is also needed to promote renewable energy. By sectoral approach, there are several technical recommendations such as the use of electric boilers in the textile and apparel industry,” he explained.

Bo Shen, Energy Environmental Policy Research, LBNL explained that globally, challenges to decarbonizing the SME industry include gaps in the knowledge of SME owners or managers regarding emissions, energy, or furthermore climate change and its relevance to their business.

“When SMEs already have sufficient knowledge and awareness to carry out decarbonization or reduce emissions from their business, finance becomes the next obstacle. The current upfront costs for, for example, looking for technology vendors or energy service providers (Energy Service Company – ESCO), are still quite high for the financial scale of SMEs,” explained Bo Shen.

Each country will use a different approach to encourage the decarbonization of their SMEs. In the United States, for example, governments are collaborating with universities to build industrial assessment centers.

“Apart from being useful for decarbonizing the SMEs industry, this approach also prepares skilled workers who have direct training opportunities in the SME industry,” explained Bo Shen.

Bo also added an interesting case from China which formed an initiative called Green Growth Together (GGT). This initiative encourages decarbonization of SMEs that are part of established product supply chains.

The established brands they supply require their entire supply chain network to implement emission reduction or decarbonization practices. This demand also comes with required financial assistance or technical assistance.

Ahmad Taufik from the Green Industry Center of the Ministry of Industry (Kemenperin) stated that Indonesian is currently experiencing challenges in the industrial sector. The contribution of the industrial sector to GDP continues to decline.

“Structurally, we are still continuing to improve various things, from industrial development, SME development, to ensuring the availability of environmentally friendly jobs (green jobs) and professional staff (green professionals),” said Taufik.

Reviewing Indonesia’s Renewable Energy Investment Needs

Investasi energi terbarukan

Jakarta, March 8th, 2024 – Indonesia’s energy transition commitment officially began three years ago when the State Electricity Company (PLN) issued the 2021-2030 Electricity Supply Business Plan (RUPTL) which targets increasing renewable energy capacity as one of the prerequisites for achieving net zero Indonesia’s emissions in 2060, specifically the electricity sector in 2050.

During the Market Review session, Friday 8 March 2024, Fabby Tumiwa, Executive Director of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) stated that the development of renewable energy is a necessity. The government, through a number of policies such as RUPTL 2021, and Presidential Decree 112/2022 has announced additional renewable energy capacity as well as a commitment to no longer build new PLTUs except those already in the contract process.

“These commitments must be translated to executable technical and economic plans. Therefore, the RUKN and RUPTL revision process which is currently underway is very important,” said Fabby.

In the 2024 – 2040 RUPTL, PLN plans to increase its renewable energy generation capacity by up to 80 GW. This plan will have the consequence of a significant increase in renewable energy from currently around 9 GW to 70 GW.

Fabby added that this enthusiasm and ambition needs to be monitored by the public considering that the government’s record for increasing renewable energy capacity is always below the target. In pursuing the target of a 23 percent renewable energy mix by 2025, Indonesia has not shown the expected progress. Until 2023, the renewable energy mix will only be 13 percent. This makes the remaining two years a challenge for accelerating renewable energy.

The required cost for building renewable energy plants, which reaches USD 152 billion (equivalent to 2,300 trillion rupiah) by 2040, is in the spotlight. This figure is considered a realistic figure by Fabby, considering that this figure represents investment needs including the need for building renewable energy plants as well as building transmission and distribution networks.

“The figure of USD 152 billion is a realistic figure at this time. We also have to understand that technology continues to develop, it is very possible that in the future this investment need will gradually decrease according to technological developments,” explained Fabby.

Fabby highlighted the government’s intention to involve the private sector more. To invite greater private investment, regulatory improvements are needed, including the National Energy Policy in line with the electricity sector’s net zero emission target in 2050, a review of electricity purchase prices from renewable energy generators, and a review of the current electricity tariffs.

Between Low Renewable Energy Target and High Economic Growth Ambitions

Jakarta, 20 February 2024 – Fabby Tumiwa, Executive Director of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) assesses the steps taken by the National Energy Council (DEN) to adjust the renewable energy mix target in the Draft of Government Regulation on National Energy Policy (RPP KEN)  from the original 23 percent to 17-19 percent 2030 is a backward step because it is not in line with the stated goal of reducing emissions and achieving Indonesia’s net-zero emissions target by 2060 or sooner.

Fabby also highlighted the energy transition agenda carried by each pair of presidential candidates in the 2024 election, which includes a number of renewable energy mix targets until 2030 in an interview with the Squawk Box program.

According to him, each candidate has an energy transition agenda, one of which is the desire to pursue the same renewable energy mix target as the current National Energy Policy, ranging from 27-30 percent by 2030. Apart from that, each candidate also has a commitment to limit the operation of coal power plants.

“For candidate number 02, what is clearly visible is the increase in the use of biofuel to replace or reduce fuel subsidies as stated during the campaign,” said Fabby. They (presidential and vice-presidential candidates’ number two) are targeting a biofuel blend percentage of 50 percent by 2029, as well as ethanol utilization of 10-20 percent.

Furthermore, Fabby emphasized that for the electricity sector, the aim of ending coal plant operations early must be accompanied by adding a larger portion of renewable energy. Apart from replacing the electrical power that was initially supplied by coal-fired power plants, renewable energy generation must also meet the projected electricity growth needs in the future. Moreover, Indonesia has the ambition to pursue economic growth of up to, for example, 6-7 percent, so electricity demand is projected to grow even greater.

“Based on IESR’s calculations, to achieve these various targets, the renewable energy mix in 2030 must reach 40 percent, this is somewhat different from the target adjustments made by DEN currently,” explained Fabby.

Fabby added that the new government’s homework related to the energy sector will be to accelerate the development of renewable energy, especially in the electricity and liquid fuel sub-sectors.